Least surprising decision

Thursday, December 23rd, 2010 at 10:00 am

Adam Bennett reports in the Herald:

The Government has turned down Hong Kong listed Natural Dairy NZ’s controversial bid to buy the Crafar dairy farms.

Land Information Minister Maurice Williamson and Conservation Minister Kate Wilkinson said they had declined Natural Dairy’s Overseas Investment Office application to buy the 16 farms from receivers in a deal thought to be worth about $200 million. …

“We concur with the Overseas Investment Office’s recommendation that consent should be declined,” the Ministers said.

Not exactly a surprise. It will be interesting to see what the receivers now do.

Tags: foreign investment, Natural Dairy

Was Maurice right?

Friday, October 8th, 2010 at 1:00 pm

The Herald has reported on a poll done by Curia for Natural Dairy, who are bidding to buy the Crafar farms.  They have placed online the full results.

The results were pretty interesting. There were three main things we were trying to ascertain:

  1. The instinctive view of foreign ownership of farms
  2. How that view may change under various scenarios
  3. Whether the nationality of the foreign owner matters

The answer to (1) was pretty clear cut. 65% said that farms should only be able to be sold to NZ residents, with only 28% disagreeing.

With (2) three different scenarios were put about only employing NZ workers, paying tax in New Zealand and increasing exports. All of them reduce the level of opposition to some degree. Only 40% said the location of the owner matters if only NZ workers are employed. On the tax issue, only 42% said the location of the owner matters if tax is paid in NZ. But 52% would still be against foreign ownership even if the extra investment could triple output and exports.

So it showed that the level of opposition can reduce under various scenarios, but it still remains controversial.

The final aspect was finding out the level of comfort or discomfort based on the nationality of the intended buyer. In an ideal world, there would be no difference. So the first thing I looked for is how many people said they had the same level of comfort or discomfort for all five nationalities. It didn’t matter whether they were hostile to all five, or relaxed about all five – it was whether they treated them the same.

Only 42% rated all nationalities the same. 58% said that their level of comfort or discomfort varies by nationality.

We used a five point scale. If you define the net comfort result as the two most comfortable response options less the two most uncomfortable response options, then the net comfort results were:

  1. Australian +31%
  2. British +16%
  3. American +1%
  4. French -9%
  5. Chinese -25%

This suggest to me that Maurice was not entirely incorrect when he said some opposition to foreign investment is fueled by racism. Certainly not all of it,m but for a fair few people, they are happy to have foreigners own NZ farms – so long as they are Australian and British, not Chinese.

Tags: Curia, foreign investment, Natural Dairy, Polls

Entries (RSS) and Comments (RSS)

Mobify empowers marketers and developers to create amazing mobile web experiences. Tap to learn more

Mobify